Paolo Banchero 2024-25 Prizm Black Nebula 1/1 Sale

2024-25 Panini Prizm Black Autograph Nebula FOTL Prizm #117 Paolo Banchero Signed Card (#1/1) - PSA GEM MT 10, PSA/DNA GEM MT 10

Sale overview

On May 10, 2026, Goldin auctioned a truly top-tier modern basketball card: a 2024-25 Panini Prizm Black Autograph Nebula First Off the Line (FOTL) Prizm #117 Paolo Banchero, serial-numbered 1/1 and graded PSA GEM MT 10 with a PSA/DNA GEM MT 10 autograph. The card realized $14,701.

This card sits at the intersection of several major hobby signals: it is a one-of-one (1/1), it is a high-end parallel from Panini’s flagship chromium basketball line (Prizm), and it carries dual gem-mint grades for both the card and the signature.

Card details and why they matter

Let’s break down the key attributes of this card in plain language:

• Player: Paolo Banchero
• Team: Orlando Magic
• Year: 2024-25
• Set: Panini Prizm Basketball
• Card number: #117
• Parallel: Black Autograph Nebula, First Off the Line (FOTL) Prizm
• Serial numbering: 1/1 (the only numbered copy produced)
• Autograph: Signed, authenticated and graded PSA/DNA GEM MT 10
• Card grade: PSA GEM MT 10 (Gem Mint)

Prizm is widely viewed as the modern “flagship” chromium set for NBA cards, especially for collectors who focus on shiny, serial-numbered parallels. Within Prizm, Black and Nebula-style parallels are among the most desirable because they are extremely low print, often 1/1, and visually distinct.

The FOTL (First Off the Line) tag indicates this card came from a limited online product run released directly by Panini prior to the main hobby release. FOTL boxes typically include exclusive parallels that never appear in regular hobby boxes, and those exclusives tend to have strong collector attention.

The dual gem grades are also meaningful:

• PSA GEM MT 10 for the card: indicates a nearly flawless card—sharp corners, clean surfaces, strong centering.
• PSA/DNA GEM MT 10 for the autograph: indicates the signature itself is exceptionally clean and well-executed.

For modern high-end cards, many advanced collectors treat a true gem-gem combination (10/10) as an important premium, especially when the card is already a one-of-one.

Is this a rookie card?

The card is from the 2024-25 Panini Prizm release. Paolo Banchero’s true rookie cards come from 2022-23 products, the season he entered the NBA. That means this is not his rookie Prizm, but rather a later, ultra-premium Prizm parallel.

For many players, long-term pricing power concentrates in true rookie cards. However, for established or rising stars, elite one-of-one Prizm parallels—even from non-rookie years—can still attract serious attention from player collectors and high-end modern basketball buyers.

Market context and comparable sales

Because this is a 1/1, there are no direct comps (comparable sales of the exact same card) in the traditional sense—there is only this copy. To understand the $14,701 result, it’s more useful to look at:

1. Other high-end Paolo Banchero cards
2. Other Prizm 1/1 or Black/Nebula autos of similar-level young stars
3. The general behavior of Prizm FOTL one-of-one parallels

From publicly available marketplace and auction histories for Banchero (2022-2024 timeframe), a few patterns are common:

• Banchero’s true rookie 1/1s (especially from 2022-23 National Treasures, Flawless, or Prizm Black/Gold parallels) have typically commanded a premium over later-year cards.
• Non-rookie, high-end Banchero parallels—like low-numbered Prizm golds (/10), black or nebula-style 1/1s, and on-card autos from premium sets—often sit in a second tier of pricing: meaningful, but generally below his best rookie issues.

For similar players in the modern ultra-modern era (Zion Williamson, Anthony Edwards, LaMelo Ball, Cade Cunningham, etc.), non-rookie Prizm 1/1 parallels can still produce five-figure results when:

• The player is viewed as a long-term cornerstone or future MVP candidate.
• The card carries a strong brand combination (Prizm + scarce parallel + autograph).
• The card has top grades (PSA 10, BGS 9.5/10, or equivalent).

This $14,701 outcome for Banchero’s 2024-25 Prizm Black Autograph Nebula FOTL 1/1 aligns with that broader pattern: it recognizes Banchero as more than just a prospect, but it does not reach the peak levels reserved for his top rookie 1/1s or for firmly established MVPs.

Where this sale fits historically

It is still early for 2024-25 Prizm, and 1/1 FOTL Nebula autos are by nature thinly traded. That makes it difficult to rank this sale against a long, established history for this exact variant. Instead, the sale mainly tells us:

• There is real, five-figure demand for premium non-rookie Paolo Banchero cards.
• High-end buyers are willing to pay for modern Prizm 1/1s when they pair scarcity with strong grading.
• Goldin’s platform can still surface deep-pocketed bidders for the right young-star cards, even beyond rookie-year inventory.

If you are tracking broader market direction rather than this card alone, it helps to watch:

• Banchero’s best rookie 1/1 and /10 sales across auction houses.
• Other 2024-25 Prizm Black/FOTL 1/1 sales for comparable names.

Those data points, taken together, give a clearer picture of demand for modern Prizm and for Banchero specifically.

Collector significance

Several factors give this card collector relevance beyond its price tag:

1. Player trajectory Paolo Banchero entered the league as a highly-touted top draft pick and quickly became a focal point of the Orlando Magic. Early-career production, All-Star consideration, and team success can all feed into collector confidence.

2. Ultra-modern, low-print landscape This card sits firmly in the ultra-modern category—recent releases with heavy emphasis on parallels, serial numbering, and premium inserts. In this era, demand often centers around:

   • One-of-one cards
   • Flagship chromium sets (Prizm, Select, Optic)
   • High-end on-card autographs from premium brands

   This card checks multiple boxes: Prizm, 1/1, and a graded gem autograph.

3. Prizm and FOTL culture Among NBA collectors, Prizm is a go-to reference point. Many player collectors use Prizm color and 1/1s as backbone pieces for a PC (personal collection). FOTL exclusives add another layer—some collectors specifically chase FOTL-only parallels for a player or a team because the cards are tougher to assemble than standard rainbow builds.

4. A dual-gem one-of-one cornerstone For someone building a serious Paolo Banchero collection, a PSA 10 / PSA/DNA 10, 1/1 FOTL Prizm auto stands as a natural centerpiece. Whether the buyer keeps it long-term or not, the card functions as a high-end reference point for future Banchero auctions.

How small sellers and newer collectors can use this data

You don’t need to chase five-figure cards to learn from sales like this. Here are a few practical takeaways:

1. Understand how grading multiplies scarcity On a 1/1, you might think the grade doesn’t matter—there is only one copy. In practice, high grades still matter because:

   • Some buyers strongly prefer PSA 10s and will bid more aggressively.
   • Dual gem grades (card and autograph) create a clean headline that auction houses can promote.

   For your more modest cards, this principle is similar: low-population, well-graded cards usually outpace raw copies, especially in core brands like Prizm.

2. Use comps carefully “Comps” means recent comparable sales—similar cards used as a reference point for pricing. With a 1/1 like this, true comps don’t exist, so collectors look to:

   • The same player’s other 1/1s, especially from related sets
   • The same parallel for other players of similar hobby standing

   When you price your own cards, think in terms of tiers: brand, parallel rarity, autograph/no autograph, and player profile.

3. Track player news alongside card sales Awards, playoff performances, and narrative shifts often correlate with demand changes. Following Banchero’s on-court trajectory can help contextualize why a card like this sells when it does and for how much.

4. Recognize that not all parallels are equal Within Prizm alone, there are many colors and patterns. Scarcer parallels (gold, black, nebula, FOTL exclusives) generally draw more attention than mass-printed colors. When sorting your own cards, it’s worth learning which parallels are actually short-printed versus just visually striking.

What this sale does not tell us

It’s important to keep perspective:

• A single five-figure sale does not define the entire Banchero market.
• 1/1 results do not automatically translate into equivalent percentage changes for base cards or more common parallels.
• Short auction windows and timing (offseason vs. playoffs, for example) can influence realized prices.

This Goldin sale is, however, a clear signal that:

• Ultra-modern collectors still value premium Prizm and FOTL exclusives.
• Paolo Banchero’s high-end market is strong enough to support serious bidding beyond his rookie year.

Key facts at a glance

• Card: 2024-25 Panini Prizm Black Autograph Nebula FOTL Prizm #117
• Player: Paolo Banchero (Orlando Magic)
• Serial: 1/1
• Autograph: Yes, PSA/DNA GEM MT 10
• Card grade: PSA GEM MT 10
• Auction house: Goldin
• Sale date (UTC): May 10, 2026
• Realized price: $14,701 USD

For collectors who follow modern basketball closely, this card is a concise snapshot of where high-end Paolo Banchero and premium Prizm parallels stand in the current hobby landscape.